Anyway, just like I said in my last post, I would take credit for the winners that I didn't select as "official." Those were Buffalo, UTEP, and Kent St. If I would have taken all of those unofficial picks, we'd be 5-6 on the week so whoopie. But the point is, I had 5 winners in that list, and I took the wrong ones. Let's give some unofficial picks again. Bowling Green, Duke, Oregon St., Boise St., Cincinnati.
Here's what happened last week.
Notre Dame @ North Carolina +16 LOSS 33 - 10 (Margin +23) Maybe they shouldn't recruit kids that need to take fake classes for college credit to stay eligible.
Marshall @ Charlotte +15 WIN 14 - 3 (Margin +11) What a barn burner!
UL Monroe @ Texas State +7 LOSS 45 - 27 (Margin +18) Combined for 39 points in the first QUARTER and State had the lead. Then State only scored 7 more in the game. Dumb.
Miami (FL) @ Florida State +3 LOSS 24 - 20 (Margin +4) The teams trade scores in the last 1:30 with the Canes taking the lead in the last seconds. Good clock management, Noles. FFS.
LSU +2.5 @ Florida WIN 17 - 16 (Margin -1) On the field.
CAR +2.5 @ DET WIN 27 - 24 (Margin -3) On the field. Winning!
BUF @ CIN -3 WIN 20 - 16 (Margin -4) The real question you had to ask yourself on this was, "How are the Bengals favored unless sportsbooks like losing money?"
ARI +6.5 @ PHI LOSS 7 - 34 (Margin +27) That's not cool. That line stunk to high heaven.
KC @ HOU +0 (Pick) LOSS 42 - 34 (Margin +8) Another stinker - JJ Watt going down didn't help the cause.
MIN -3 @ CHI PUSH 20 - 17 (Margin -3) That's as ugly of a game as you might ever see.
Here are your 2017 NCAA Week 7/NFL Week 6 Picks! Oct 10 - Oct 16 WINNERS! (cue Trombone Shorty music)
Miami (OH) @ Kent St. +9.5
Toledo @ Central Michigan +7.5
Virginia @ North Carolina +4
NC State @ Pittsburgh +11
Auburn @ LSU +7
GB @ MIN +3
MIA @ ATL -11.5
DET +5 @ NO
CHI +6.5 @ BAL
TB @ ARI +2.5
*lines for NCAAF are best available and current as of post time/date.
**lines for NFL are taken from Las Vegas Super Contest hosted by Westgate Casino which lock weekly on Wednesday around 5 PM Las Vegas time. Link to the Super Contest Rules.
NCAA Week 6/NFL Week 5 Record: 4-5-1 (44.4 %)
Overall 2017 Football Season Record: 30-25-1 (54.5 %)
NCAAF 2017 Record (6 weeks) 15-15-0 (50.0%) VERSUS SVP 18-23-1 (43.9 %)
NFL 2017 Record (5 weeks): 15-10-1 (60.0 %)
Overall 2017 football picks that were underdog outright wins: 16 of 48 (33.3 %)
Point Differential by week (negative point diff including spread is good = beating the spreads by more points then losing to spread. Total point margin lower than spread is also good = beating spread on average):
NFL0/NCAA1: +11.5 with spread. +54.0 straight up.
NFL1/NCAA2: -9.0 with spread. +30.0 straight up.
NFL2/NCAA3: +44.0 with spread. +105.0 straight up.
NFL3/NCAA4: -67.5 with spread. -10.0 straight up.
NFL4/NCAA5: -16.5 with spread. +66.0 straight up.
NFL5/NCAA6: +33.5 with spread. +80.0 straight up.
Total point margin including spread: -4.0 (-0.67/week)
Total point margin straight up: +325.0 (+54.17/week vs +54.84/week spread)